The majority of the voters will generally opt for either the MPRP or Democratic Party, however but the DP will see their numbers fall.    

The MPRP and the Democratic Party are the main rivals in this election round. In 1996, a DP candidate was elected with 91.50 percent of the votes; in 2000, the MPRP candidate was elected with 86.85 percent of the votes. 1n 2004, the candidate representing the Motherland Democratic Coalition was elected with 51.79 percent of the votes. Given the percentage of the votes, the MPRP and the DP at this stage have great expectations of securing the majority of the voters. 

But the National New Party and the People’s Party, which were established after breaking away from the DP, could make a dent in the DP’s numbers. 

The founders of the National New Party and People’s Party, the Deputy Premier of Mongolia M. Enhsaihan and Health Minister Gundalai used to be members of the DP. But broke away from the party and instead registered the two new parties in the High Court in December 2005 and May 2006 respectively. Some DP members left the party to join them.

The leaders of National New Party and People’s Party, M.Enhsaihan and L.Gundalai, and the head of Homeland Party, Member of Parliament and Fuel and Electric Power Minister Erdenebat were elected in the 45th, 47th and 48th districts of Hovsgol aimag as part of the Homeland and Democracy Coalition, and they obviously have become influential with local voters.

Another influence will be the candidacy of L. Gundalai’s brother L.Delgerdalai. They are citizens of Huvsgol aimag, and Mongolians have a long tradition of supporting their local candidates.

The Civil Will Party, Republican Party and Homeland Parties will also take some of the votes. Under the Law of Elections, a candidate can be withdrawn 10 days before an election, and it is certainly possible that these parties may well do this in order to support another party.

The Healthy Society Civil Movement, which began operating in 2005, also has a role to play in the election. In conjunction with the US Democracy Value Fund, from July 20-21 it interviewed 2000 voters in this district. 

Healthy Society Civil Movement vice-chairman O. Magnai said that their research had shown that 35 percent of the participants supported the Healthy Society Civil Movement, while 23-24 percent supported the DP and 18-19 percent the MPRP.

In this election, voters are well aware and appreciative of the strikes organized by the Civil Movement and their involvement with the government committee to change the Mineral Law. In any case, they will win certain amount of voting. 

Thus far, the Civil Movement party is the only one to have conducted voter research.

In 1996, there were 15,243 registered voters, of which 14,573 of them voted; in 2000, 16,982 voters were registered, of which 14,715 of which voted; and in 2004, 16,095 voters were registered, of which 13,275 of them voted.